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Spain, Lebanon and UNIFIL (WP)
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WP 21/2008 - 20/5/2008
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George Emile Irani
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This study assesses the causes and results of the war in the summer of 2006 and its implications for local, regional and global politics. It also focuses on Spain’s military involvement in Lebanon, especially on the relationship between the Spanish UNIFIL contingent and the local population in South Lebanon.
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The Mediterranean Union: A Union in Search of a Project (WP)
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WP 13/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 14/4/2008
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Gonzalo Escribano and Alejandro Lorca
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A French proposal to create a Mediterranean Union has drawn much attention on the Euro-Mediterranean political scene. So far the proposal is somewhere between vague and indeterminate. It is important for Spain to join this process so as to guide it from the inside with coherent ideas.
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Lebanon in Limbo (ARI)
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ARI 2/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 15/1/2008
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Julia Choucair Visozo
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The presidential election in Lebanon has become the latest battle between two political coalitions competing for the reins of the country’s future. Despite the fact that Lebanese politicians have so far refrained from taking the step that would unleash chaos, the situation could spiral out of control.
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Lebanon’s Choice: Dante’s Inferno or More’s Utopia? (ARI)
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ARI 87/2007 - 24/7/2007
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George Emile Irani
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Lebanon is faced with an
internal political deadlock and the threat of being overwhelmed by salafi
groups bent on destabilising it. The basic domestic political issues at this
point are: the formation of a new national unity government, the election of a
new President (the mandate of the current President Emile Lahoud expires this
autumn), the creation of a new tribunal to investigate the killing of former
Prime Minister Rafiq al Hariri and his escort, and the rising threat of al-Qaeda-inspired
salafi groups such as Fatah al-Islam.
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The EU, the US and the Muslim World (ARI)
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ARI 83/2007 - 19/7/2007
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Haizam Amirah-Fernández
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Divergent policies and threat perceptions in the US and the EU concerning the Muslim world, as well as differences in strategic culture and historical experience, make transatlantic cooperation less relevant than is required by current challenges.
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Will the Fourth Gulf War be Avoided? (ARI)
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ARI 62/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 12/07/2007
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Haizam Amirah-Fernández
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The expulsion of the Taliban
from Afghanistan and the neo-con fiasco in Iraq have strengthened the role of
the Shias and of Iran in the Middle East. Will a new regional war be avoided?
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Post-Saddam Iraq: A Growing Threat to the Middle East (ARI)
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ARI 21/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 1/3/2007
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Haizam Amirah Fernández
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Saddam Hussein’s Iraq posed a threat to peace and security in the Middle East. Now in the throes of a process of decomposition, the country could become a source of new and even more serious threats for the region and for the international system.
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The Lebanese Predicament: Stability or Civil War in 2007? (ARI)
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ARI 25/2007 - 19/2/2007
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George Emile Irani
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The 1989 Taef Accord that ended the civil war in Lebanon is now proving
to be outdated and overtaken by events. The fundamental issue is still the
question of identity, values and choices. What kind of Lebanon do the Lebanese
want?
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US Strategy in the Middle East: Struggling to Avoid Failure (ARI)
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ARI 24/2007 - 16/2/2007
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Augustus Richard Norton
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Surveying US history, one is hard pressed to find presidential
decisions as monumentally ill-informed and counter-productive as the 2003
decision to invade and occupy Iraq. The question of the hour is whether the US
will compound its strategic blunder by attacking Iran.
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