|
|
|
News |
|
|
|
Chaos, International Terrorism and Beyond: A Strategic Prognosis(ARI)
|
|
|
|
ARI 146/2008 - 11/11/2008
|
|
Xavier Raufer
|
|
During the historical interval from 1989 to 2001, the nature of
the enemy has changed. Previously, the enemy was known, stable and
familiar. Today the enemy is evasive, strange and incomprehensible –but
just as dangerous, if not more so–.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suicide Attacks in Algeria: Al-Qaeda in the Land of the Islamic Maghreb (AQLIM) (ARI)
|
|
|
|
ARI 100/2008 - 12/9/2008
|
|
Anneli Botha
|
|
Algeria has been confronted by 17 suicide attacks over a period of 16
months. Despite the devastation of these attacks, it is also clear that
the Salafist Group of Combat and Preaching (GSPC)/Al-Qaeda in the Land
of Islamic Maghreb (AQLIM) grows in its sophistication, possibly to
increasingly market itself as al-Qaeda’s representative in the region.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Afghanistan and Lebanon: Assessment of the Jihadist Risk to Spain (WP)
|
|
|
WP 8/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 11/3/2008
|
|
Miguel Luparelli Mathieu, José Antonio Mathés and Andrés Montero Gómez
|
This analysis is based on a game theory model which assumes the premise that the behaviour of Jihadist groups (taken generally, and al-Qaeda in particular) and of States is rational and responds to strategic choices. It begins with an introduction to the context which situates Spain and global Jihadist groups on opposing sides of the game board of strategic interests. There follows an analysis of each of the scenarios and their implications in the strategies of Jihadist organisations, as well as their influence on Spanish foreign policy and international security policy decisions.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Will America’s New Counterinsurgency Doctrine Defeat al-Qaeda? (WP)
|
|
|
|
WP 1/2008 - 10/1/2008
|
|
Sebestyén L. v. Gorka
|
This paper discusses the concept of global insurgency and deals with the existing canon of COIN theory and case studies. It also looks at the connection between the practice of counterinsurgency and the broader world of politics and war–fighting. The document close with a discussion as to exactly how much the ‘Long War’ is in fact understandable as a form of COIN and whether al–Qaeda is truly an insurgent organisation.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Al-Qaeda’s Threat to Denmark (ARI)
|
|
|
ARI 112/2007 - 23/10/2007
|
|
Michael Taarnby
|
|
This analysis concerns Denmark as a potential target for al-Qaeda. It seeks to define and understand the nature of the threat by tracking the historical and current connections between Denmark and al-Qaeda.
|
|
|
|
|
Belgium and Counterterrorism Policy in the Jihadi Era (1986-2007) (WP)
|
|
|
|
WP 40/2007 - 20/9/2007
|
|
Rik Coolsaet and Tanguy Struye de Swielande
|
This working paper explores how Belgium reacted to the growth of this new form of terrorism from its early signs in the 1980s until today. Next, it analyses the measures taken by the Belgian law enforcement apparatus since 9/11. Finally, it assesses Belgian specificities in combating jihadi terrorism.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|